Showing posts with label Volcker. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Volcker. Show all posts

Thursday, March 22, 2012

If Only Bernanke Had Volcker's FOMC

Former FOMC president Volcker, like Bernanke, is overly reliant on  the creditism view of monetary policy.  Take this past week's comments at the Atlantic magazine news conference.
Higher inflation would backfire by causing interest rates to rise. "You are not going to get any stimulus and you are going to make it much harder to restore price stability,"
Volcker is implying that the higher interest rates that would accompany a higher inflation target would be contractionary.   At first glance, his analysis appears correct, a higher interest rate would seem to suppress already weak aggregate demand.  Yet with today's current low levels of inflation and interest rates at their lower bound, a higher interest rate stemming from a higher inflation target would be a by product of an improved economic outlook.  To understand why this counter intuitive conclusion is correct, we need to look at David Glasner's recent research on deflationary expectations at the zero lower bound, my bold: